There's a lot still undecided about all this. As my name's been mentioned in connection with the story (in a positive way - thanks guys!) a couple of times I thought it might be worth passing on what I know as of 4pm on Wednesday. If this gets too long or tedious I'm sure the Mods will do their stuff, so here goes: The BBC broke this story on Monday morning. I had a tip last week and the story firmed up late on Sunday evening. An advice note put out by the Treasury's PR people spoke about 'Leeds-Manchester' electrification. No mention of York. But later, the same note spoke of creating an electric railway from Newcastle to Liverpool, with a saving of 45 minutes of current journey times. Clearly, taken together, these two statements are a nonsense - you can't do Newcastle-Liverpool without doing Leeds-York. And that is exactly what is going to happen according to DfT's PR people, speaking today. This will create an electric route from Newcastle to York, Leeds, Stalybridge, Manchester Vic to Liverpool. The confusion has arisen because different Government departments have been putting out different stories. Only this morning I had sight of an email from the DfT that specifically EXCLUDES Leeds-York from the project! Well, I suppose it is all outside the M25 so the confusion is understandable. What DfT is also saying is that Network Rail has been asked to produce a report looking at the feasibility of extending the OLE to Hull, Scarborough and Middlesbrough. That report will be delivered in July 2012. In ordinary times none of them would be remotely viable - they're all based around one train an hour. But we're not in ordinary times. The only reason the core North trans-Pennine is being wired is because the Government's desperate to get people back to work and this is seen as a quick win. The Treasury advice note spoke about work possibly starting 'next year'. Well. Normally we think about an electrification scheme for a few years, do a feasibility study, think about it and then do another one just in case and then - years later - put spades in the ground. So starting next year is an indication of how desperate things are. And it'll happen quickly because it'll piggyback off the 'Lancashire triangle' electrification, extending East from Manchester Vic, and, as someone on here - Edwin, I think - has remarked, all the complex bits - across Leeds, and York for example - are already wired. So, for the sake of keeping the electrification teams together and in work, it might be that it'll be seen worth the implicit subsidy involved to keep on wiring. My guess is that Hull would be favourite followed by Middlesbrough because of potential wider network benefits. Look North showed Class 319 units because it's a reasonable guess (and my script said as much) that ex-Thameslink trains will be the likely rolling stock. Add them onto the fleet needed for the Lancashire lines and you'd need fewer than a stand alone fleet and they could all be maintained at the same place by the same team of people. Looking at some of the other comments made here, I can confirm that there are currently NO plans to electrify the Calder Valley Line, though west Yorkshire Metro floated a plan a couple of years ago to electrify the route from Halifax to York as a Leeds cross-city line. Given that this would now only involve doing Leeds to Bradford and Halifax, this may become a viable scheme. So could the Harrogate line, but at this stage all this is no more than speculation. Looking a little further afield, one effect of wiring Leeds-York is that you create an electric railway all the way from Glasgow via Edinburgh to Wakefield. That seems to me to make the idea of a Voyager pantograph coach a lot more likely. And as Jamie (who did a cracking job of 'outing' me to a colleague the other day!) remarks, Midland Main Line has to be seen as an early candidate for electrification. At which point you extend the wires to Derby (you'd need at least one Sheffield/Leeds route electrified to get stock to and from Neville Hill). It's hard to imagine that Derby-Birmingham would not be wired as an add-on at which point Voyagers would be spending at least half their time running as electric trains. Won't stop the smell, but will stop the throbbing diesel 18 inches under you backside. Sorry this has been such a long post, but I hope you find it helpful.
Alan Whitehouse