adb968008

If you need couplings, I can help.

Germanys cases started with a cluster in a more remote part of western Germany, which coincidentally started with a cluster in Frances Eastern border.. which just so happen to be next to each other, so are probably related. The region is less dense, than London with 8million people, never the less it’s slowly spread, but the testing in France and Germany is a chalk and cheese comparison of what to do and what not to do and results are clear. London was always going to grow much faster, whilst an R-number of 2 or 3 is often touted as the virus average, it is an average.. one sneeze in a tube carriage in rush hour, could infect dozens at once and dozens more touching the handles during the day... London is very weak to defend from the virus... by counter a sneeze in the outer Hebridean isles is likely to affect little. That’s why this proposed mobile phone app based plan is doomed to fail if implemented in isolation... its honesty based, probably only on 20% worst case detections arriving in hospital, and so people will be isolating themselves in droves 3 weeks after exposure... and only 20% of those exposed will then go on to be detected at hospital...and then theres those infected by the tube carriage surfaces for the rest of the day after the infected passenger has exited the train... long out of Bluetooth range, and again detected 3 weeks later... They will need to be able to tests hundreds of thousands daily in London alone to be successful in this approach, even then unless it’s random testing they are waiting 5-14 days for people symptoms to show and come in for a test....unless they rely on the herd becoming immune over time.

I think that’s misguided. Ive not seen any science that suggests speaking German gives immunity to Coronovirus, or that sniffing the odours of the oder proffers immunity, or that German ventilators world better than ours, or even that really strong curry wurst is a cure. but based on today’s figures.. I’d wager that when Germany says they have detected 125k cases and approximately 2% have died, that Germany really had an infection rate close to 125k cases as they tested as many as possible to detect it, and 2.5% of that - 2,500 died. The “field” testing says what’s happening on the street today or recently.. Hospital testing only occurs after 5 -14 days symptomless spreading and 7 days illness (still spreading it) that’s suddenly got so bad you’ve gone to hospital. But conversely in the UK, when they say 12107 have died, that it represents 2.5% of the infection rate, of which 20% ended in hospital - 80,000 (we have 88k cases today), indicating the infection rate was around 650,000 cases in the UK 3 weeks ago.. much greater than Germany’s test results today. The difference being testing.. which is only done upon desperate cases arriving at the hospital doors... not mild cases detection in the community. Germans community testing is finding and shutting it down (reducing the R multiplier by taking even mild undetected cases off the streets), much sooner, and so keeping the scale down and the exit strategy much easier to predict... 0 cases today and for 2 weeks after then your clear. its not that the UK is badly prepared, it’s that our outbreak is much larger than Germany’s. Therefore the climb down from lockdown will be much longer, as the litmus test is the % of the 20% cases arriving at hospital... when it falls to c20 a day cases at hospital, and c2 deaths a day... that’s a sign of c100 infections a day in the wider community, 3 weeks ago... But without community testing, you don’t know if a cluster is developing, until the cases arrive at hospital 3 weeks later, by which time an R3 multiplier could take 10 cases to 800 cases by the time you find it, and 7200 cases before you stall it.

Plus disinfecting feet, mass testing, mandatory cleaning communal surfaces every hour, widespread use of temperature checks not just in government and transport, but restaurants, hotel, retail, frequent changing clothes... I saw it all in 2003 in HK... I felt invincible and still ended up with suspected sars, I described the symptoms on here, which people laughed. I described that the UK could end up isolated and locked down, shops closed, I was told I was hysterical. So I just withdrew, but kept on reading... I see now people are not laughing any more.. ultimately there’s no point wasting forum words. What makes Asia’s response even more mark able ...is even crowded HK, Singapore and South Korean cities are too, which makes it even more remarkable. But this is all alien to the west.... they don’t understand it and don’t listen to it... no one alive remembers the last great pandemic in Europe. Brits don’t even listen to each other. Politicians here already think its nearly over. Health professionals are under intense pressure to bow to economic needs. Europe just doesn’t understand it, and holds self belief In their powers of control, but sadly they will after the second wave.. if like others in history, will be much worse than the first... food for thought.. there’s more than one country in North America.. no one talks of 37m Canadians on one of earths largest land masses, on a border with the worlds largest cluster of cases.. just 25k cases... the biggest mitigator to this virus is distance...and anything you can do to block or increase that distance... that’s why it’s called social distancing, that’s why London is empty.. open it back up and it just comes right back at you. if masks don’t work.. then why are healthcare professionals using them and millions spent sourcing them ? anyway we’re a good social distance from Supermarkets... and risk infecting this thread.

Because Europeans don’t listen to Asians, instead they try to impose their will on each other, North American’s just seek to accumulate. if masks offered self preservation, you can guarentee everyone and his dog, would be wearing them, but that isn’t the case..., only those who have experienced this before are doing it. I understand healthcare workers getting priority, but the sheer levels of hostility towards those who have self procured them, often from overseas, is to me either jealous or misguided, it should be a personal choice, on personal needs.

My theory is that men are more brow beaten by women their nose collects the virus more. As women thumb up their noses more at men, the nasal passages are above the gravity line of the virus. it could of course be much simpler... men don’t wash hands all day, pick noses and digest more of the virus than women.

No but even the Chicken & Mushroom, Beef &Tomato ones are vegetarian friendly.. And if you dont like your neighbours, cut out that little white box between the brush holders ;-)

As a kid spending summers around Westbury in the late 1980’s, this is the version I remember most commonly around that time... (link, not mine). I have my Lima 33008 reflecting this style since that time. I do remember seeing this on services to/ex Bristol many times, it was a regular, often daily around this time. Though I do remember mods to this livery thinking they had spoiled it, as to my mind this was 33008 at its best.

thing Ilike about Lima, is its Pot Noodle like qualities. its cheap but looks ok, you can’t avoid getting a fix every now and again. It will never be rare, it’s the 1990’s equivalent of Triang. Coveted by a few, bottom feeder fodder to most.

Appearance is everything... rearguard action ?

All we need is one BBC journalist to add “black 0-6-0 goods engines” to the list and many of the model railway industries problems are solved.

Why not just make one version of Fell now... Would enough people who want one, buy one, regardless of a set of rods ? then once its sold, retool a different body to re-use on the existing chassis / mechanism w/rods as a second bite of the cherry if demand allows it...? (hint, if your anywhere close to a slightly used class 71 tooling, that could make the same chassis mechanism useful for a class 74 body too ;-)

Fell built 1950 @Derby, 10000 built at Derby with EE... So once the Fell, fell out of favour, maybe the lessons learned about maintenance were passed via Osmosis from Derby to EE and learnt on Deltic introduced in 1955..where engines were exchangeable in rapid time ?

True word said in jest, I had a £600 order from derails left in the neighbours bin on bin day once... fortunately they left it an hour after the bin man went.

It wasn’t possible out of the box in the 1990’s either... the Bachmann 158 was one of the first models made with this new fangled NEM coupling thingy mi-jiggy which no one liked at the time, as there was no “loop”, just the Roco style one.. of course there was no coupling at all on the front. And the Lima 156... it came with a plastic monkey wrench shaped fitting that was only designed to couple two 156’s together with nothing else... the way around it was Fleischmann couplings, but then the only other rtr 2nd Gen dmus (Dapols 150/155 and Hornbys 142 had no coupling either) didn’t have an easy way to retrofit them either. in short we’ve come a long way to stand still... though until recently we had NEM fittings on 143/144/150/153/5/6, nothing on a 142 and unique fitting to a 158.

6 engines inside... now I’m starting to understand why it was a one off. Derby having already built 10001/2 they must have known this was a lemon whilst building it.

Are you feeling lucky ? https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/Surprise-Box-Of-Bachmann-Train-8-In-Total-All-Boxed-Some-New-Some-Great/392759593020?hash=item5b724bc83c:g:~cYAAOSw9D1ekyko

There is a bad buyers list for model railways out there, mostly US centric, but it exists. you just copy / paste the list in to your blocked bidder list and done. There are tons of “bad buyer” lists out there for different ebay categories. if you end up on one, i’m not sure theres a way off it. How much they are adopted I don't know, but if they were to get popular and UK sellers got frustrated too many times I could for see them taking more notice.

Reading wiki and other sites, it suggests the loco had 4 Paxman 12rph engines in, which were very similar to 12tp used in marine vessels and WW2 transports. A quick look around doesnt find many videos of sound (and non of the Fell itself). I did find this video of a 12rph, does anyone know if it sounded anything like this ? (Or x4 of them). This video sounds a bit like an oversized class 14. This must have been a bit of a beast in sound ?

Theres not been many new reports of Mazak rot for a few years now, so it looks like the industry is ahead of that. I’d imagine most models of older batches will have imploded by now also, so whilst theres risk of fringe cases, many models that look ok, probably are now OK, as they may be outside the fault zone, or repaired, or chassis swapped. Certainly theres not as many mazak affected models on ebay as their used to be, and ironically their values have doubled as people feast on their bones.

I’d like Scotrail Saltaire livery myself. but if the original Scotrail /Provincial was done, i’d run it as a 2-car hybrid with a 156 car being the other vehicle, as operated in their first winter of service.

Not sure why. Its same price at Kernow since Christmas, and once you separate the wagons from the loco, the price isn't even that good.

Could the balance off ? what is it like, if you remove the tender, and have it pull a load smokebox first ?

I got halloumi cheese today, tons of it...local Turkish deli has so much of it they were selling them in bags of 4, got my olives, oranges, strawberries too. Its close to the station, but as no one rides trains they've gone quiet. Drove past sainsburys, car park half closed with a queue around 50-60 deep snaking around it.. 5pm today. I think the problem is population density in the area, people dont want to venture to the larger out of town stores (Purley way in our case used to be the mega-draw for the populous for a 15mile radius at least). I think people are staying closer to the smaller stores in the various villages of Zones 3-6. However with So many people in the London suburbs, no longer commuting & eating lunch in London daily, plus having kids at home too its making the more local stores much busier than they used to be, and storage not being designed for the demand, they are running out very often. Although ive not now been into London since end of Feb, (ive been a “home office type” since 1998). i’m guessing those supermarket “locals” around Bank, Liverpool st etc are probably over stocked but deserted. whilst its slightly more expensive local grocers, butchers and then the reasonable local Asian,Polish and Middle Eastern shops seem to be the best equipped. I spoke to one guy at the butchers, he said it was a 90 min queue to get into his local Tescos. speaking to my mother near Bolton, her stores are wanting for nothing throughout this so far, everything is there on demand, “ever since the war” in her words (and she means WW2), but then in her village, an 8am-6pm working day, plus a 1 hour commute either side was never part of its culture either, unlike this area of London, so supermarket demand there is probably unchanged. I do suspect hundreds of thousands of Londoners will be reevaluating the commute vs work from home following this, as will many of those locked up in Londons blocks of flats maybe looking for something more open and remote after this is over.

thats optimistic. I note 24 sold in the last 3 months on ebay, prices are right down.. £99-£180 mostly, the £300 bubble has gone.